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Fantasy Football Week 9 Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em

Start: Raheem Mostert, Isiah Pacheco

Although there will be substitutes, Mostert will continue to serve as Miami’s starting quarterback for one more game until De’Von Achane becomes eligible to return following the team’s impending bye. Although the Chiefs have permitted the fourth-most EPA/rush, they have allowed the third-fewest EPA/pass. Mostert is a beneficiary of Miami’s league-leading offense. This week, he is nearly a top-five RB in a contest that features the highest total (51.0 points).

Despite a pair of lackluster performances, Pacheco maintains Kansas City’s lead. Sunday in Germany, where Clyde Edwards-Helaire is out and Jerick McKinnon is sidelined, he may be required to perform additional duties. Regarding Kansas City’s wide receivers, nothing has changed, and Taylor Swift will not be in attendance. This week, the Dolphins defense has led the Chiefs in implied team totals with six, while the Chiefs have the greatest implied team total at one. Pacheco stands to gain significantly from Patrick Mahomes’s anticipated significant comeback.

Minnesota Vikings @ Atlanta Falcons

Sit: Alexander Mattison

Start: Kyle Pitts

Last week, when Mattison returned to head Minnesota’s backfield, he recorded merely 1.9 YPC against a poor Green Bay run defense and the team conceded a short touchdown to Cam Akers. In excess of expectations, Mattison ranks 58th out of 61 qualified backs in rush yards this season (Akers ranks last). The Falcons are the only defense to have conceded a rushing touchdown to the position, allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to the position. As fifth-round freshman Jaren Hall makes his NFL debut at quarterback, the offense of the Minnesota Vikings, which is still without Justin Jefferson, could struggle. This week, only Arizona and Chicago have implied team point totals fewer than Minnesota.

Pitts leads all tight ends in air yards this season; Desmond Ridder should be replaced at quarterback with Taylor Heinicke. Additionally, he should receive additional targets this week due to the groin injury-related absence of Drake London. Running backs have struggled against the Vikings, and the Falcons’ offense is more effective at home.

Seattle Seahawks @ Baltimore Ravens

Sit: Tyler Lockett

Start: Gus Edwards

Since 2017, Lockett has accumulated 52.9 yards per game on average despite suffering a hamstring injury. Seattle also has more offensive options this season due to the development of rookies Zach Charbonnet and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who has emerged as a formidable opponent to Kenneth Walker. The Seahawks face a formidable opponent in the Ravens, whose defense allows the fewest fantasy points to wide receivers above what is anticipated. Geno Smith ranks No. 1 against zone coverage but 31st against man coverage, which the Baltimore Ravens employ frequently (12th-highest rate in the NFL).

Edwards will not finish in the top three in fantasy football every week as he has the past two, but he will average 15 or more carries per game while playing a crucial role. This week, the Ravens’ implied team point total is the third-highest at home, where Lamar Jackson has accumulated 9.1 YPA this season. Due to the inexperienced caliber of Seattle’s secondary, Baltimore may once again rely on Edwards in the red zone on Sunday.

Arizona Cardinals @ Cleveland Browns

Sit: All Cardinals

Start: Amari Cooper

This week, Arizona will send either a rusty Kyler Murray or rookie Clayton Tune in his first NFL start at quarterback. An early game between the Cardinals and a Browns defense that surrenders 3.6 yards per play at home (0.5 yards less than the next lowest) will be played on the road. Trey McBride is a lockdown tight end on a Cleveland defense that allows the fewest fantasy points to tight ends. Emari Demercado is unlikely to make the roster.

The Browns will attempt to secure victory through their defense and three-headed running backs, but despite the uncertainty at quarterback (Deshaun Watson is expected to return in Week 9), Cooper remains a solid fantasy starter. This season, he ranks fifth in air yards and among the top twenty in target share for Arizona, whose secondary is formidable. The Browns have an implied team point total that is quite healthy, and Cooper has fared considerably better in his tenure at home.

Los Angeles Rams @ Green Bay Packers

Start: Darrell Henderson Jr.

Sit: Christian Watson

Given the growing likelihood that Brett Rypien will start at quarterback, the Los Angeles Rams will likely favor running heavily on Sunday. Even with a healthy Stafford, Los Angeles had the lowest pass rate over expectations in the previous three weeks. The ailing Packers offense is likely to comply, as their defense is currently granting running backs the sixth-most fantasy points. If necessary, both Henderson and colleague Royce Freeman can be included in fantasy leagues.

Watson will undoubtedly experience some breakout weeks the remainder of the season, but it is evident that his fantasy value was severely diminished when Aaron Rodgers was replaced by Jordan Love. This season, Watson has struggled and seen his target percentage decline against zone, the fifth-highest coverage percentage in the NFL, which the Rams employ. The Rams’ secondary has performed above and beyond expectations by allowing wide receivers to score the third-fewest touchdowns.

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